Old Farmer’s Almanac vs. NOAA’s Winter Forecasts

Weather.com reported this week that massive winter storms of snow, ice, and freezing weather have wreaked havocacross the Midwest and Northeast.

In addition, Weather.com reported that over 400 daily cold records were set since the cold flowed into the continental US in mid-November.

NOAA’S Winter Climate Forecast

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecast in the Autumn, that warmer-than-average temperatures were in store for the country.

NOAA wrote on October 17th “Winter Outlook: Warmer than average for many, wetter in the North.”

“Warmer-than-average temperatures are forecast for much of the U.S. this winter… below-average temperatures are not favored.”

Given that NOAA predicted a warm winter, we have to ask… is there any climate organization that can be trusted to make accurate forecasts?

There is, and of course, it’s the Old Farmer’s Almanac…………..

This Winter’s Climate (2019 – 2020) Forecast Made In The Autumn By The Almanac

The managing editor of Almanac Version 1 (founded 1792) summed it up:

“We’re using a very strong four-letter word to describe this winter, which is C-O-L-D. It’s going to be very cold.

Version 2  of the Almanac (founded 1818) agrees.

“We expect yet another wild ride this winter,” editor Peter Geiger said, “with extreme temperatures swings and some hefty snowfalls.”

The coming winter is described by version 2 as a “polar coaster” for about 70% of the US.

According to the Almanac, which has been on the bullseye recently in winter forecasts, the Northern Plains and Great Lakes area should expect temperatures dropping to -40 (F).

The Almanac provides climate forecasts nationally and state-by-state. Iowa, for example, is predicted to have a “frigid and snowy” winter.

Democrat-controlled Illinois, which is preparing for global warming, and putting the few and obsolete snowplows they have into storage based on the NOAA mild weather prognostication…is projected to have it even worse than Iowa.

Illinois has a dual-winter climate forecast with part of the state “frigid and snowy” and the other part “frozen and snowy”.

“Only the western third of the country will see near-normal winter temperatures, which means fewer shivers for them,” the Almanac (Version 2) writes.

The Old Farmer’s Almanac forecast a brutally cold winter for 70% of the country. So far this year, the Almanac has been right on target.