It’s loonnggg, but still, RTWT
Warning, there is some amount of foul language used.


FISKING ANTON – BY IAN BRUENE

== BREAKING NEWS: Journalist maintains high word-to-knowledge ratio! More at 11… ==

A couple weeks ago an article was posted by a certain Michael Anton which contains one true and interesting point, drenched in enough manure to solve the coming phosphate supply issues before they ever get started. I meant for this to go up much sooner, but was busy and then caught Xi’s Death Rot.

Let’s dive straight in:

Regime propaganda is so ubiquitous that even if, like me, you make no effort to seek it out and even take steps to avoid it, you can’t help but notice that our masters have fastened onto a new narrative: the coming “civil war.”

This was the crux of all the maudlin, dishonest January 6 retrospectives, of several “think pieces,” and at least three new books: America is facing a second civil war and it will be started by the Right.

These first two paragraphs are the true and interesting part. The Enemy does indeed want a war, and wants us to fire the first shot to provide them with their casus belli.

But this is not new. Anyone who lived through or has read history of the 80s and 90s remembers the hysteria which was stirred up about “right wing militias”, where every policy and action seemed tuned perfectly to piss off the barely stable loose cannons on the right which the Enemy was *sure* existed in large numbers.

This eventually culminated (with the help of some political existence-justification on the part of the ATF) in the Waco massacre. Followed by the Oklahoma City retaliatory strike, even though that came not from the “right”, but the even more unusual breed of libertarian terrorist. After a while this cooled down, and with the changing administration, cultural shifts in the generally accepted view of the 2nd Amendment, and 9/11, this all sunk into the background.

Later upon the ascendancy of His Resplendent Imperial Majesty Obama First Of His Name there was a renewed push to categorize everyone who failed to bow on command as a potential terrorist, now with added infrastructure left by the response to 9/11. Fortunately like the inevitable final gun ban to end all bans after Sandy Hook, it all came to nothing.

Later still when Trump won when he wasn’t supposed to, and then didn’t pre-emptively surrender the way Republicans are supposed to, The Enemy decided that the problem was that they hadn’t gone far enough: no longer would Americans be treated as a declining minority of the population, doomed to irrelevance. Now at least half the country would be openly treated as the root of all evil, to be broken or destroyed. Which brings us to the present day. After Horus stab-, er, after Brandon’s Most Comprehensive Fraud Organization in History finished Fortifying Their Democracy(tm) they started back on the old plot thread, updated to $CURRENT_YEAR, and it has continued unto this day.

Really? With what? In one of his more lucid moments,

Oh dear… this is nose-diving fast…

Joe Biden himself noted that the disaffected on the Right have no chance of taking on the United States government without F-15s and nukes.

Mostly because Lord Brandon, Most Senile of His Name, is and always has been an imbecile who failed to learn a single military lesson in his entire political career despite ample opportunities (frequently caused or helped by him).

Like the blind squirrel finding a nut, the old man was onto something.

Mostly the location of the nearest young girl, but that isn’t relevant to the subject at hand.

The government’s overwhelming advantages in technology,

“Captain! The $TECH is being $TECHed by the $ALIEN_TECH!”

“Divert the $AUXILIARY_TECH to the $OTHER_TECH Mr. Plot Point!”

“Technology” is a rather wide net to cast. Care to specify, or are we just treating it as magic?

firepower,

What firepower advantage? Small arms are close enough to parity as to not matter, and may be easily supplemented where that is not the case.

Heavy weapons on the other hand require a supply train and crews to keep them operating. There are few military situations which suck quite as badly as having your supply train completely surrounded by enemies.

And if you somehow solve that impossible problem, good luck trying to *use* any of those toys without racking up levels of collateral damage which will drive the rest of the country against you within about 12 hours of weapon release.

manpower,

We can add Arithmetic to the list of subjects you don’t understand.

The US population outnumbers the military well over 10:1. Even if we assume shockingly low numbers of restorationist resistance you quickly lose all hope of getting the kind of force ratios necessary to have any confidence in victory.

money,

‘s ok; we have printers too.

transportation,

Just how much transportation do you think is needed? If there is one thing that most of the non-American world agrees on it is how we have too much independent transportation infrastructure.

supply networks,

On the one hand we have a massive government logistics bureaucracy. On the other hand we have millions of people each solving their supply problem at the local individual level.

Economics is pretty clear on which one of these curbstomps the other.

surveillance tools

I guess it is a good thing the government is run by perfect incompetents who can’t help broadcasting their every move.

And while you may have spy software everywhere we have Weaponized Autism, which has amply demonstrated it’s overwhelming superiority in recent years.

*happy thoughts about the 4chan airstrikes on ISIS*

and much else would be so lopsided

That’s true enough…

as to make the military buzzword “asymmetric” a grim joke.

Add “asymmetric” to the list of concepts you don’t understand.

Except that unlike the Goatisexuals we actually believe in weird concepts like “aiming”, and “fire discipline”.

Think, instead, Bambi versus Godzilla.

Hmmmm. Something so difficult to see from the towering hulk that it may as well be invisible.

I like this comparison.

To fight a civil war, you have to organize.

Add “Americans” to the list.

But organizing is all but impossible for those who genuinely dream of taking on the state.

Explain the organizational infrastructure of one guy who is pissed off and decides to setup with a 6.5 Creedmoor half a mile from a government building.

That’s the main killing power behind what you are fighting. And we are still ignoring the demonstrated competence of The Enemy…

The U.S. government is incompetent at many (most?) of its assigned responsibilities.

My apologies: you did have some truths left to speak.

But it’s quite good at keeping tabs on any hint of “right-wing” “insurrectionary” impulses. That task is made much easier by the fact that there is so little such activity to monitor—so little, in fact, that the feds increasingly feel compelled to incite it.

So close and yet so far…..

The reason there is “so little” “right-wing insurrection” is because almost all of what is considered that — the stuff which isn’t just “he has an opinion I don’t like therefore terrorist” — are people who are only barely connected to the right except by the vaguest similarities. An important tell is how many of them are hyper-collectivists, which also is key to understanding how they can flip-flop between apparently-left and apparently-right so easily. Secondly, the people we are talking about tend to be the dumbest members of any room they are in. And as you (correctly) hint, they are 90% glowie anyway.

But this question also depends on what you consider “right wing insurrection”. If you are talking about a half-dozen fruitcakes with an underpants-gnomes plan then no there won’t be many. Mostly because troublesome fruitcakes are a very small problem no matter what the subject is.

On the other hand if you are talking about people who think most or all of the U.S. government need to be killed, I have bad news for you. A large swath of the country considers that question settled and are now concerned with the doctrinal issues of whether it is best to follow the teachings of St. Augusto of the Whirling Blades, or St. Tepes of the Artificial Forest.

It would be hard to hide a mass movement of people gearing up to fight a civil war. Do you see one anywhere? I don’t.

No..…

Nononono, *no one* is that oblivious. Even Cortez the Conservative Dream Girl isn’t that delusional.

You are in a country where, when the people get nervous, they gulp down the entire world production of ammunition for years at a time without even blinking. You are talking about a country who’s response to the collapse of the Soviet empire was to spend a couple decades buying up the entire contents of their armories, and then started complaining that there wasn’t enough.

And these days that doesn’t just include the fact that it is *normal* for individuals to have enough weapons and ammunition to supply a squad for an entire war. But in many cases the training to use them with frightening efficiency at all ranges, body armor equal or better to anything the military has (gets complicated when soldiers or their families are buying civilian armor to use in combat….), and state of the art night vision.

If there were one, don’t you think the feds would be all over it?

Hard to do when you are legally not allowed to just arrest anyone who has a gun and speaks their mind. That would be why the glowies are out and about; casus bellis aren’t going to make themselves.

Of course they would. And don’t you think regime media would be blaring about it 24/7? Again—of course. This is a classic case of a dog not barking. Silence is confirmation that nothing is happening.

Add the endless attempts at gun control to the not-understood list…..

Organization, like civil war, requires elites. Indeed civil wars, like all wars, are fought between two opposing factions of elites. Even backwoods insurgencies have leaders. Where are the elites poised to lead red America in a civil war? Who are they? There is Trump to be sure, and regime propaganda insists that he’s a modern-day Jeff Davis-Robert E. Lee hybrid. But this is the same Trump who spent January 6 tweeting. The real elites made sure that was his last day on that platform—and then impeached him for the second time. The real elites—Republican and Democrat alike—wish he would crawl into a hole and die. Trump may have tens of millions of committed followers. But a real civil war requires generals and colonels and captains and lieutenants and sergeants. Go ahead—name some. I’ll wait.

Add Ameri-, oh wait, already added that to the list. We’ll skip over that for now.

In your world no one has ever rose to prominence during a war. They all apparently existed fully formed beforehand.

Also we are Americans. We don’t bow before self-appointed kings you elitist piece of reptile shit. If war comes, it is precisely a war between Americans, and people like you. But don’t get too comfy and think this will be limited to America; the news from the rest of the world has quite the remarkable pattern to it these days….

Granted, some on the Right speculate about the possibility or desirability of a “national divorce.” But they are in all cases proposing a peaceful way out of the present impasse—a parting that would be, if not necessarily amicable, at least orderly and bloodless. It’s one thing to argue that such is not possible; that’s a reasonable position, though one I think weaker than its alternative. It’s another to accuse advocates of national divorce of advocating or wishing for violence. That’s simply a lie.

The National Divorce scheme is mostly an attempt to limit the tsunami of blood to the deep blue infestations and the border regions around them. No one in their right mind seriously thinks everything will be happiness and sunshine, at least not if they have the faintest clue of how totalizing ideologies such as leftism work. To some extent it is also an attempt to move the Overton window, but take note: just past divorce on that path is “I shot the guy in the face so he would stop hitting me”.

So what’s going on? Two things, I think—one conscious, the other less so.

The conscious effort is what’s known in national security geek speak as a “psy-op,” a.k.a., a “psychological operation.” These are coordinated efforts to use propaganda, disinformation, truth and half-truth, to influence the target’s thinking in ways favorable to those behind the op. It’s not simply propaganda; that is, not Tokyo Rose merely telling American Marines they’re destined to lose. Seemingly fact-based lies are an essential element to a psy-op. Think Tokyo Rose telling Marines about to hit the beach that an American carrier has been sunk when it hasn’t.

Commonly known as Tuesday in CURRENT_YEAR.

I’ve been curious for a while; how much do you get paid for work like that anyway?

Psy-ops can have many objectives, demoralization being the most common. But they can also be used to prep the ground for other operations, to create opportunities that otherwise might not present themselves.

Which is one of the major reasons why The Enemy is having so much trouble now. It used to be that they had near-total narrative dominance, and could push whatever idea they wanted. That dominance is *gone*. And they don’t know how to write narratives which will stand up to any level of scrutiny.

That’s what’s going on now. The regime wishes to crush all actual and potential opposition. To do this, it needs to criminalize dissent. But doing that runs against the letter and spirit of the great charters of American liberty, and against the grain of the American character.

The Enemy’s vaunted “Arc of History” has been tilting away from them for a while, and they have become increasingly desperate. Now all they have left is to try to cow the general population into submission through overt demonstration of power, which is just making people angrier.

To do what they want to do requires changing public opinion. Or, more specifically, it requires wearing down Americans’ inborn resistance to censorship and political persecution.

Sad to see someone understand it that clearly while they are also working to help it along.

But as much as Americans hate those things, they also hate and fear even the prospect of terrorism, civil strife, and domestic conflict.

Which is part of the reason Americans have tried to make as clear as possible that certain lines will get the line crossers shot. So that hopefully the warning will eliminate the need for the actual shooting.

And why do you think *that* poorly of Americans? That they will undergo any abuse so long as it isn’t civil war?

Here we come to another dog resolutely not barking.

*continous deafening brrrrrrrr of weapons factories is slowly drowned out by chants of Let’s Go Brandon which are themselves drowned out by an endless honking*

There is no terrorism, civil strife, or domestic conflict—at least not coming from the Right. Yet the Department of Justice recently created a “domestic terrorism unit” to target “those who are motivated by racial animus, as well as those who ascribe to extremist anti-government and anti-authority ideologies.”

You’ve adopted The Enemy’s categorizations. And then set up the strawman that if the shooting isn’t in full swing it cannot ever start.

Read carefully that unusually candid statement. They aren’t going after actual terrorists or terrorist acts. I suppose they would if they could find any. But there aren’t any to be found. So instead they’re targeting motives, animus, and ideologies—i.e., ideas and feelings, not actual acts.

The closest thing they have is January 6—an unplanned, unarmed, inchoate protest in which the only victims of violence were protesters. The regime is trying to brainwash everyone that January 6 was the equivalent of Pearl Harbor and 9/11. But it’s not working—three-quarters of Americans think it was “a protest that went too far”—so the regime needs a Plan B.

“Too far” is an odd way of saying they failed to leave a single piked head in their wake…

And that’s to sow disinformation of a coming “civil war.” Historians, philosophers, and survivors of civil wars all agree that they are the worst of all wars. Hence the desire to avoid them is understandably overwhelming, justifying (in many minds) almost any measures, including many that would be unthinkable absent the alleged threat. If the regime can stoke enough fear of an imminent civil war, suddenly all kinds of draconian measures that are presently out of the question will become possible.

It’s also the reason Americans haven’t started shooting yet. Because if there is any way to avoid it which isn’t worse than the disease it needs to be tried first.

For this reason, there is perhaps no more urgent rhetorical task right now than to demonstrate, repeatedly, the falseness and dangerousness of this narrative. In that respect (as in many others) Julie Kelly remains a national treasure.

Annnnnd after a couple somewhat reasonable paragraphs we are back to Conservatard Surrender Chants.

No. The correct way to deal with this situation is to make it as clear as possible to the enemy that if they try to start a war every single one of them will die horribly, either by American hands, or to provide extra organs when they go running to their CCP friends.

Typically, the first rule of a psy-op is that you do not talk about the psy-op. And that remains the case with this one—to a point. But interestingly, regime voices have chosen this moment not merely to acknowledge the existence of psy-ops but to praise and recommend their use to further regime ends.

And after all of this, with every action the regime takes going at cross-purposes to any sane goals, you still haven’t clued in to how incompetent and out of control they are.

That may be a coincidence. Or it may emanate from an uncharacteristic sense of self-awareness on the part of the ruling class.

The administration’s official position on current problems is Let Them Drink Margaritas. That is on top of the decades of projection.

We aren’t even in the same universe as the one where the lizards have self-awareness.

Certainly some of them believe the nonsense that the Right is yearning and preparing for civil war.

For yearning, it’s the projection, because their hellspawned chaos cult says that slaughter is how they get to utopia.

As for preparations, if the US weapons industry brrrrrrrs any harder it will crack open the San Andreas fault and push most of the problem into the Pacific.

But just as certainly, many do not. The second rule of a psy-op is that those mounting it must be able to distinguish truth from falsehood.

You clearly spent too much time in D.C. and it rotted whatever brain you once had. If you donate what is left to science we might be able to figure out why GOP politicians keep stabbing the country in the back once they fall under D.C.’s spell.

The Enemy can’t even distinguish today’s lie from yesterday’s, let alone the truth.

It’s possible that some who know they’re lying feel bad about it, at least on some subconscious level.

Lizards don’t have consciences.

It’s also possible, even likely, that many elites intuit that if a civil war were to come, they would bear the lion’s share of the blame: for despoiling middle America for decades, and then for demonizing decent, normal people for daring to object to their despoilation. One way to cope, psychologically, with the guilty conscience that may arise from harming so many for so long is to contrive rationalizations for why the victims are evil and deserve it.

Also known as “Leftism 101”.

The truth is that for the last 50 years, and accelerating greatly over the last 10, America’s elites have relentlessly divided the country, strip-mined its institutions, leeched its wealth, and attacked a large portion of its people. Those actions, taken together, may be said to be almost a recipe for civil war. Perhaps the smarter elites have concluded that such a war is now inevitable and they want to get a jumpstart on assigning blame.

Make up your mind. Either we are on a path with a realistic chance of civil war or we aren’t. You don’t get it both ways.

A cynical person (not me!)

Of course not. Cynicism requires at least the approximate intelligence and awareness of the world around you as is contained in your average anglerfish.

might wonder if civil war is not exactly what the ruling class wants and is trying to provoke.

Well you can’t have the Glorious People’s Revolution without a little prodding. Gorram workers keep failing to do a Marxism as they should….

We might therefore analogize every fresh provocation to those feds who apparently entrapped some very imprudent men into trying to kidnap the governor of Michigan.

Such a complicated case that one…… on one hand fuck the FBI, on the other hand fuck antifa (who the idiots seem to have been), on the gripping hand fuck Whitmer (not that way, ew).

“Why can’t they all lose?”

They want you not just to talk about civil war,

The 80s called and want their social developments back.

but to begin taking concrete actions

Now the 90s are on the phone yelling for you….. wait a minute….

that they can insist are preludes to war.

Dammit now you’ve got the 2010s yelling as well! We don’t even *have* that many phones!

Then they will have free rein to impose ever more censorship, surveillance, no-knock raids, computer and records seizures, asset confiscation, frivolous (but deadly serious) criminal charges, endless pretrial detention, and draconian sentences for misdemeanors and noncrimes.

On the one hand… Tuesday.

On the other hand if we are talking a full ramp up I guess it’s open season on the bidirectional shooting range then.

So my advice is: don’t give them any excuse. Be careful what you say and do. You may complain: “But it’s unfair that a stray comment might be used to throw me in federal lockup while leftist allies can loot and torch whole cities and get off scot-free.”

Indeed it is. But this whole system, this whole regime, is unfair—to you. That’s the whole point of it.

So knuckle under like a good little serf. Who knows! If you work extra hard to make sure the dinner is perfect and the kids aren’t a bother he might be satisfied with only slapping you a few times tonight instead of the full bone-cracking beatdown.

If there is anything you have proven in this bucket of slop, it’s that your life is run on the same setup as the Enemy: you completely disconnect from the state of the country, and then decide that if you don’t personally see something it doesn’t exist.

[This article only became funnier because of the delay, now that The Great Honkening is afoot]

This image brought to you by the combined efforts of BGE and Deep Lurker (the verses) Caitlin Walsh (the drawing and Francis Turner, the meme-ing. Well done you creative little maniacs. I’m very proud of you.)